The Great Rate Trap: AI Shadow Debt, Yield Curve Chaos, and Kevin Warsh’s High-Wire Act
Spoylent
Economy

The Great Rate Trap: AI Shadow Debt, Yield Curve Chaos, and Kevin Warsh’s High-Wire Act

The real trouble begins when you look at the calendar. Debt created in real estate or traditional infrastructure is underwritten against physical land and concrete—assets that hold value over decades. AI debt, however, is being underwritten against silicon.

The $1.65 Trillion Mirage: Unmasking Silicon Valley’s Shadow Debt

@bantinginc

The Illiquidity Illusion: How Carried Interest Loans and Valuation Markdowns Are Reshaping Private Equity in 2026

@bantinginc

Curve Inversion: The Fear of Being Upside Down

@bantinginc
American Card Holders Fall Further Behind On Monthly Payments

American Card Holders Fall Further Behind On Monthly Payments

This year nearly half the country will be using their tax refund to spend on essentials and pay down debt rather than spend on entertainment and/or invest in the stock market.

The Job Market is Tightening But There Might Be Vacancies In These Sectors

The Job Market is Tightening But There Might Be Vacancies In These Sectors

At the end of 2023 job postings declined by 15% overall which was the result of some companies filling positions while others just decided to stop hiring.

The Job Market is Tightening But There Might Be Vacancies In These Sectors

At the end of 2023 job postings declined by 15% overall which was the result of some companies filling...

Interest Rates In 2024: First Outlook

Over the last couple months, trading in interest rate futures has yet again predicted an earlier first rate hike...

Are Coal Miners On Their Way Out? Or Just On Their Way To New Markets?

Despite any headlines you might have seen, coal consumption hit a record high in 2022 and will likely hit...

Employee Happiness Hits A Multi Year Low

Employee net promoter scores (the likelihood of an employee recommending their organization as a place to work) are the...

EV’s Have 80% More Problems Than Gas Vehicles; Something To Consider When Evaluating EV Stocks

The latest report from Consumer Reports found that electric vehicles (EV’s) have nearly 80% more problems than conventional internal...

U.S. Consumer Confidence Is Trending Higher With Caution

According to Morning Consult data, ICS (consumer sentiment), ICC (current conditions), and ICE (future conditions) have been on the...

Rising Tech Layoffs Could Lead To Improved Profitability

According to data from Layoffs.fyi, 2022 saw 164,969 tech layoffs across 1,063 companies. In 2023 thus far, that figure...

Yet Another Outlook For Interest Rates

On Thursday October 19th, Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, suggested that the central bank is inclined to hold rates...

Countries With The Highest Investment Risk

In addition to political and economic risk, a country’s legal and default risk must also be analyzed. The following...

Your Vote

Market volatility has increased throughout 2026 due to the U.S. - Iran war, sticky inflation, and enhanced corporate borrowing.

With that being said, do you believe it's likely that the U.S. Fed will raise rates twice before year end?

Is The Stock Market Worth The Risk With Interest Rates Above 5%? Sciege
Economy

Is The Stock Market Worth The Risk With Interest Rates Above 5%?

If market participants feel that over the next few years the S&P 500 will return less than 5% per year, a GIC or CD may be a better investment option. The safety of capital and guaranteed interest rate is certainly alluring for those who want to lock in rates today without worrying about tomorrow.

The Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)
Chicago Fed
Economy

The Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The NFCI is a weighted average of 105 measures of financial activity and they are each expressed relative to their sample averages and scaled by their sample standard deviations. The index indicates tight and/or loose financial conditions as measured across 3 major categories: risk, credit, and leverage.

Scroll to Top

Follow us on X (formerly Twitter) to get access to 1-free month of premium services.  You’ll get access to Advanced Market Data & Analysis, Whispers on Wall Street, Intraday Trader Texts, and Premium Articles.  Just follow @bantinginc and we’ll send you the discount code!