As the recent charts indicate, the CP spread has been grinding higher. This widening spread tells us that the market is inherently pricing in a higher probability of corporate defaults or a tightening of available cash.
Economy
At the end of 2023 job postings declined by 15% overall which was the result of some companies filling positions while others just decided to stop hiring.
Economy
According to Morning Consult data, ICS (consumer sentiment), ICC (current conditions), and ICE (future conditions) have been on the rise since July of 2022.
According to Morning Consult data, ICS (consumer sentiment), ICC (current conditions), and ICE (future conditions) have been on the...
According to data from Layoffs.fyi, 2022 saw 164,969 tech layoffs across 1,063 companies. In 2023 thus far, that figure...
On Thursday October 19th, Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, suggested that the central bank is inclined to hold rates...
In addition to political and economic risk, a country’s legal and default risk must also be analyzed. The following...
If market participants feel that over the next few years the S&P 500 will return less than 5% per...
In 2017, Lina wrote a paper in law school arguing for the breakup of the Amazon, claiming that the...
There is only 1 month out of the year when Fed days turn out to be negative days for...
Gen Z and Millennials are often shamed for their reckless spending on goods and services but that spending helps...
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s August Survey of Consumer Expectations found that, on average, nearly 15% of...
ZephyrInflation has been trending lower throughout 2023 but the strong jobs market, and consumer spending, has made the Fed somewhat hawkish. Nevertheless the S&P 500 has posted gains of 16% YTD, most of which was initially fueled by the expectation of a interest rate cut in 2023.
